Brief Report — Sunflower Oil Market Prices (Bulk), Ukraine

Brief Report — Sunflower Oil Market Prices (Bulk), Ukraine

In the first half of 2025, sunflower oil quotations in USD/ton were relatively high (peaking at around $1,300–1,340/t early in the year), but by August 2025 prices declined to around $1,130–1,185/t due to seasonal factors and improved crop forecasts. Below is a table with representative monthly values, a price chart, and main data sources.

Table — Representative Prices (USD / ton)

Note: The table shows representative monthly averages based on public market reviews and daily quotations. For commercial decisions, it is advisable to verify specific terms (FCA/FOB/CPT/port), volume, and delivery dates.

Sources Used for Trend Evaluation

• MinFin — daily quotations (February 2025 index).
• TradingEconomics — overview and current global sunflower oil futures.
• APK-Inform — analytical data on August 2025 price levels (CPT/port offers).
• AgroWeek / Propozitsiya — market reviews and domestic prices in Ukraine (summer 2025, internal levels ≈ 52–60K UAH/t or ~$1,160–1,200/t FCA/factory/port).
• Tridge / Dir — wholesale indicator ranges for Ukraine (as secondary verification).

Brief Conclusion and Recommendations

Trend 2025: high volatility — price peak early in the year ($1,320–1,340/t), followed by a gradual decline to $1,180–1,200/t by summer due to seasonal oversupply and positive harvest expectations (sources: MinFin, APK-Inform, Agroweek).

Brief Report — Sunflower Oil Market Prices (Bulk), Ukraine, 2024

In 2024, Ukrainian bulk sunflower oil prices (USD/t) showed steady growth after the 2023 decline. The increase was driven by lower raw material supply, reduced exports from Russia, and strong foreign demand (especially from India and Turkey).

Table — Representative Prices (USD / ton)

Data reflects average market prices (FCA-plant, CPT-port, bulk) based on exchange quotations and analytical reviews for 2024.

Sources

• MinFin / Latifundist.com — daily market overviews and internal price data (2024).
• APK-Inform — export and purchase price dynamics (CPT-port, May–August 2024).
• AgroWeek / ProAgro / Tridge — indicative USD/t prices under FCA and FOB terms.
• TradingEconomics / IndexMundi — global sunflower oil quotations and their impact on Ukraine’s market.

Summary

Trend: prices grew from ~$970 to ~$1,200/t during the year.
Main drivers: smaller 2023 harvest, active demand from Southeast Asia, and recovery of logistics via Danube ports.
Comparison with 2025: prices decreased by about 10–12% due to higher yields and a well-supplied market.

Comparative Report — Sunflower Oil (Bulk), Ukraine (2024–2025)

Between January and August 2024–2025, the Ukrainian sunflower oil market shifted from steady growth in 2024 to a gradual decline in 2025.

Comparative Table

Key Findings

• 2024: steady increase from $970 to $1,200/t (+23%) due to strong export demand and lower stocks.
• 2025: decline by 10–12% due to higher yields, stable logistics, and stronger global competition.
• Peaks: March 2025 ($1,340/t) and August 2024 ($1,200/t).
• Year-on-year gap: during H1 2025, prices were $200–250/t higher than in 2024, but by August the difference nearly disappeared.

Comparative Report in UAH (Based on NBU Average Exchange Rate)

For accurate comparison, average exchange rates were applied:

• 2024: 37.2 UAH/USD
• 2025: 39.0 UAH/USD

Table — Prices in UAH

Key Findings

• In UAH terms, 2024 showed moderate growth (+23%) supported by a stable exchange rate.
• In 2025, prices in UAH fell from ~50K UAH/t to ~46K UAH/t, mirroring the USD trend.
• Despite stronger USD-based prices, the exchange rate depreciation partially offset the decline in hryvnia terms.
• Average difference: in H1 2025, prices were 20–25% higher than in 2024, narrowing to 3–5% by August.